General macroeconomics information since regaining
independence in 1991, Baltic Republics
can be quoted as "the most successful reformers of all the ex-Soviet republics". After a few
years of economic sink and explosive inflation rates, Latvia, Estonia
and Lithuania
have been able to pull back from the economic wreckage, registering positive
rate of growth since 1995. Tough budgetary and monetary policies, a clear-cut privatization
process, the slashing down of virtually all Soviet-era subsidies - coupled
with the convenient maritime location and the closeness to rich neighbours as
are Scandinavian countries, have
been the key factors of this positive performance.
The Baltic states had the highest growth rates in Europe
between 2000 and 2006, and this has continued in 2007. In 2006 the economy in Estonia grew by 11.2% in gross domestic product, while the Latvian economy grew
by 11.9% and Lithuania
by 7.5%. All three countries have seen their rates of unemployment falling
below the EU average by February
2006. They are currently members of the European Union since 1 May 2004 and WTO since November 1999. All three
countries are slated to adopt the Euro
around 2010.
Estonia:
The Republic of Estonia now has one of the strongest
economies of the new member states of the European Union with a low inflation rate, and high GDP growth.
Its economy is rated as high income
by the World Bank. Since re-establishing independence, Estonia
has styled itself as the gateway between East and West and aggressively pursued
economic reform and integration with the West. Estonia's market reforms put it
among the economic leaders in the former COMECON area. A balanced budget, almost non-existent public
debt, flat-rate income tax, free trade regime, fully convertible currency
backed by currency board and a strong peg to the euro, competitive commercial banking sector, hospitable environment
for foreign investment, innovative e-Services
and even mobile-based services are all hallmarks of Estonia's free-market-based
economy. In January 2006 the personal income tax rate was reduced to 23%. The
income tax rate will be decreased by 1% annually to reach 18% by January 2010.
The economy
benefits from strong electronics and
telecommunications sectors and
strong trade ties with Finland,
Sweden and Germany. In 2007, however, a large
current account deficit and rising inflation put pressure on Estonia's
currency, which is pegged to the euro, highlighting the need for growth in
export-generating industries. Estonia
exports machinery and equipment (33% of all exports annually), wood and paper
(15% of all exports annually), textiles (14% of all exports annually), food
products (8% of all exports annually), furniture (7% of all exports annually),
and metals and chemical products. Estonia also exports 1.562 billion
kilowatt hours of electricity annually.
Latvia:
Since the
year 2000 Latvia has had one
of the highest (GDP) growth rates in Europe. In
2006, annual GDP growth was 11.9% and inflation was 6.2%. Unemployment was 8.5%
— almost unchanged compared to the previous two years. However, it has recently
dropped to 6.1%, partly due to active economic
migration, mostly to Ireland
and the United Kingdom.
The fast growing economy is regarded as a possible economic bubble, because it is driven mainly by growth of domestic
consumption, financed by a serious increase of private debt, as well as a
negative foreign trade balance. The prices of real estate, which were
appreciating at approximately 5% a month, are perceived to be too high for the
economy, which mainly produces low valued goods and raw materials. As stated by
Ober-Haus, a real estate company operating in Poland and the Baltics, the prices
of some segments of the real estate market have stabilised as of summer 2006
and some experts expect serious reduction of prices in the near future.
Lithuania:
In 2003, prior
to joining the European Union, Lithuania had
the highest economic growth rate amongst all candidate and member countries,
reaching 8.8% in the third quarter. In 2004 — 7.3%; 2005 — 7.6%; 2006 — 7.4%;
2007 Q3 — 10.8% growth in GDP reflects the impressive economic development.
Most of the trade Lithuania
conducts is within the European Union. By UN classification, Lithuania is a
country with a high average income. The country boasts a well developed modern
infrastructure of railways, airports and four lane highways. It has almost full
employment, with an unemployment rate of only 2.9%.
In Lithuania there
are concentrated major biotech producers
in the Baltic countries, as well as laser equipment. Like other countries in
the region (Estonia, Latvia) Lithuania also has a flat tax rate
rather than a progressive scheme. Lithuanian income levels still lag behind the
rest of the older EU members, with per capita GDP in 2007 at 60% of the EU
average. Lower wages may have been a factor that in 2004 influenced the trend
of emigration to wealthier EU countries, something that has been made legally
possible as a result of accession to the European Union. In October of 2007
income tax was reduced to 24%. Income tax reduction and 19.1 % annual wage
growth is starting to make an impact with some emigrants gradually beginning to
come back. The latest official data show emigration
in early 2006 to be 30% lower than the previous year, with 3,483 people leaving
in four months.
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